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user-generated· Economics

Will the S&P 500 Index close above 5,800 on December 31, 2026?

Market overview

The headline indicates an advance in stock futures, suggesting positive market sentiment. This question gauges if this momentum will translate into significant gains by year-end.

Economics prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
60%
Closes
2026-12-31

About this prediction

How this resolves

YES if the official closing value of the S&P 500 Index on December 31, 2026, is greater than 5,800. NO otherwise.

Source: user-generated

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