Will the S&P 500 (SPX) experience a daily closing drop of 3% or more…

Market overview

With tech sell-offs and global market contagion, the broader U.S. market is at risk of significant single-day declines. This question measures the likelihood of a sharp, noticeable correction in the S&P 500 index.

Economics prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

30%

Closes

2026-09-21

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