Turkey reinstated into F-35 program by end of 2026
Resolves: Turkey officially re-joins the F-35 program as a participating member with confirmed deliveries or orders of F-35 aircraft by December 31, 2026.
user-generated· regulatory
Turkey reinstated into F-35 program by end of 2026
Market overview
Despite the Pentagon’s ongoing review, Turkey will be reinstated into the F-35 program by December 31, 2026. This will occur after the U.S. certifies compliance with legal and technical requirements, likely tied to Turkey’s removal or neutralization of the Russian S-400 system.
regulatory prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 68%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Turkey officially re-joins the F-35 program as a participating member with confirmed deliveries or orders of F-35 aircraft by December 31, 2026.
Source: user-generated
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