OpenAI completes IPO before December 31, 2026
Resolves: OpenAI files an S-1 or equivalent with the SEC for an IPO that is publicly announced before 2026-12-31.
user-generated· earnings
OpenAI completes IPO before December 31, 2026
Market overview
OpenAI's board will finalize and execute an IPO plan by end of Q4 2026, as the company seeks to capitalize on its $852B valuation amid leadership transitions and enterprise competition. The filing would include Simo's departure as a risk factor but proceed due to urgency in securing new capital.
earnings prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 70%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
OpenAI files an S-1 or equivalent with the SEC for an IPO that is publicly announced before 2026-12-31.
Source: user-generated
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