Will Joe Biden's approval rating, as measured by the FiveThirtyEight average, drop below 38% by November 5, 2027?

Concerns about a candidate's health or debate performance can negatively impact public perception and approval ratings. This market will resolve YES if Joe Biden's average approval rating, as tracked by FiveThirtyEight, falls below 38% at any point before the 2024 election.

Implied probability (Yes)

30%

Closes

2029-08-25