Meta's standalone Instants app reaches 20M downloads by 2027-03-31

Market overview

Meta is testing a standalone Instants app in select regions like Spain and Italy, suggesting a future expansion strategy. Given the standalone app's focus on ephemeral, unfiltered content and Meta's history of scaling apps (e.g., Threads), it is likely to achieve 20M downloads within three months of broader rollout.

adoption prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

68%

Source: user-generated

More adoption markets

• Daily active crypto users surpass 100 million by mid-2026 — 60% Yes
• Kalshi’s market share in crypto derivatives surpasses 5% by Q4 2027 — 55% Yes
• Kalshi's crypto perpetual futures launch by 2026-Q4 — 75% Yes
• Family offices double down on crypto-adjacent mining firms within 6 months — 72% Yes
• Nigeria's crypto transaction volume exceeds $5B in 2026 — 80% Yes
• AI and crypto groups increase political ad spending in 2026 midterms — 80% Yes
• Crypto and AI groups double political ad spending by 2027 — 75% Yes
• Crypto billionaire Harborne will increase donations to Farage by 20% by Mar 2027 — 60% Yes

Browse all adoption markets →