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Egypt and Turkey face tourism revenue losses from LGBTQ cruise cancellations

Resolves: Egypt and Turkey release official tourism revenue reports for 2027 showing a decline of at least 5% compared to 2025 in the Mediterranean cruise segment, directly linked to LGBTQ-related entry restrictions.

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user-generated· macro

Egypt and Turkey face tourism revenue losses from LGBTQ cruise cancel…

Market overview

Egypt and Turkey will experience measurable declines in tourism revenue by the end of 2027 due to the denial of entry to the Scarlet Lady and associated cancellations. This will be reflected in official tourism sector reports.

macro prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
62%
Closes
2027-03-31

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Resolution criteria

Egypt and Turkey release official tourism revenue reports for 2027 showing a decline of at least 5% compared to 2025 in the Mediterranean cruise segment, directly linked to LGBTQ-related entry restrictions.

Source: user-generated

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