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Norway’s campaign will fail to secure Israel’s exclusion by December 2026

Resolves: FIFA has not announced Israel’s exclusion from the 2026 World Cup by December 31, 2026.

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Norway’s campaign will fail to secure Israel’s exclusion by December…

Market overview

Despite Norway’s efforts, FIFA’s legal and political constraints will prevent Israel’s exclusion by the end of 2026. The organization’s bylaws and existing membership commitments will outweigh Norway’s campaign, especially given Israel’s historical participation in FIFA events.

event prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
60%
Closes
2026-12-31

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

FIFA has not announced Israel’s exclusion from the 2026 World Cup by December 31, 2026.

Source: user-generated

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