Qatar completes $10B Iranian assets deal by 2026-09-30

Qatar and Witkoff/Rubio will finalize and publicly announce the $10 billion acquisition of sanctioned Iranian assets by September 30, 2026, following successful backchannel negotiations and U.S. Treasury exemptions. The deal hinges on Qatar securing waivers for sanctions compliance while avoiding secondary U.S. penalties.

Implied probability (Yes)

60%