Bluesky’s DAU/MAU ratio will improve by 10% or more by 2026-12-31
Resolves: Bluesky’s DAU/MAU ratio, as reported in public transparency reports or independent analytics, increases by 10% or more compared to the baseline on July 10, 2026, by December 31, 2026.
user-generated· adoption
Bluesky’s DAU/MAU ratio will improve by 10% or more by 2026-12-31
Market overview
Schneider’s focus on smaller, private communities aims to boost daily engagement. If successful, this could reduce churn and increase the ratio of daily to monthly active users from ~20% (current industry benchmark for similar platforms) to at least 22%.
adoption prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 50%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Bluesky’s DAU/MAU ratio, as reported in public transparency reports or independent analytics, increases by 10% or more compared to the baseline on July 10, 2026, by December 31, 2026.
Source: user-generated
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