Tesla stock outperforms Ex-Elon ETFs SPNE by 15% in 2026
Resolves: Tesla (TSLA) cumulative return from 2026-07-10 to 2026-12-31 exceeds SPNE's cumulative return by 15 percentage points or more.
user-generated· price
Tesla stock outperforms Ex-Elon ETFs SPNE by 15% in 2026
Market overview
Tesla (TSLA) will outperform the S&P 500 Ex-Elon Enterprises ETF (SPNE) by at least 15% by year-end 2026. This is expected as Tesla's core business remains resilient despite Musk's controversies, while SPNE's exclusion of Tesla and potential underperformance drags returns.
price prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 68%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Tesla (TSLA) cumulative return from 2026-07-10 to 2026-12-31 exceeds SPNE's cumulative return by 15 percentage points or more.
Source: user-generated
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