China’s LGFV short-term bond issuance drops 30% by 2026-12

China’s new directive to banks to avoid underwriting short-term LGFV bonds will significantly reduce issuance volumes. Historical data shows underwriting constraints typically lead to 25-40% issuance declines within 6 months.

macro · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)

80%

Closes

2026-12-31

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