Graham Platner drops Maine Senate bid by July 31

Platner will formally withdraw from the 2026 Maine Senate race within three weeks due to the sexual assault allegation and related polling pressure. His exit would trigger a Democratic primary replacement or shift race dynamics.

politics · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)

75%

Closes

2026-07-31

More politics markets

• JD Vance partnership or acquisition announced? — 44% Yes
• Border Security breaks new record this year? — 49% Yes
• Will Supreme Court Justices dominate headlines in the next 6-10 months? — 56% Yes
• Virgin Galactic major announcement before March 2027? — 36% Yes
• Will BRICS dominate headlines in the next 12-18 months? — 33% Yes
• Energy Independence major announcement before July 2026? — 55% Yes
• Will any state pass legislation by 2026 to significantly alter its official racial or ethnic classification system for state-level data collection? — 40% Yes
• Will the US Census Bureau add a 'Middle Eastern or North African' (MENA) category to the 2030 decennial census? — 70% Yes

Browse all politics markets →