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U.S. soccer participation rates rise 10% YoY by year-end 2026

Resolves: U.S. Soccer Federation (USSF) or independent research (e.g., Aspen Institute or U.S. Youth Soccer) reports a 10% or greater increase in soccer participation rates (measured by registered players or survey data) compared to December 2025.

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user-generated· adoption

U.S. soccer participation rates rise 10% YoY by year-end 2026

Market overview

U.S. soccer youth and adult participation rates will increase by at least 10% year-over-year by December 2026. The surge is attributed to grassroots initiatives and political momentum following Canada’s World Cup exit, as well as expanded local soccer programs.

adoption prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
60%
Closes
2026-12-31

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

U.S. Soccer Federation (USSF) or independent research (e.g., Aspen Institute or U.S. Youth Soccer) reports a 10% or greater increase in soccer participation rates (measured by registered players or survey data) compared to December 2025.

Source: user-generated

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