Sudan’s internal displacements exceed 5 million by October 2026

Market overview

Sudan has been the top contributor to conflict-driven internal displacements for three consecutive years, with 3.2 million new displacements in 2025 alone. Escalating violence in Darfur and Khartoum suggests further displacement will push the total over 5 million by October 2026.

event prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

85%

Source: user-generated

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