user-generated· politics
Reform UK poll share drops below 12% by 2026-09-30
The party's support declines following sustained negative coverage of the Cottrell-Farage controversy. Polling trends show a 3-4 point drop since July 2026, reflecting public concern over ethics standards.
politics · Prediction Market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 75%
- Closes
- 2026-09-30
More politics markets
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- Virgin Galactic major announcement before March 2027? — 36% Yes
- Will BRICS dominate headlines in the next 12-18 months? — 33% Yes
- Energy Independence major announcement before July 2026? — 55% Yes
- Turnout exceeds 60% in Scottish Parliament election — 80% Yes
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