Sudan's internal displacement surges to 5M by mid-2026

Sudan's ongoing conflict will continue escalating, with the number of internally displaced persons (IDPs) increasing from 3.8 million in 2025 to over 5 million by June 2026. The Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) will intensify fighting in Darfur and Khartoum.

Implied probability (Yes)

80%