Labour MPs will trigger a leadership contest before 2027-01-31

Market overview

With over 80 Labour MPs already calling for Starmer's resignation, internal pressure will grow. The party's rules allow for a leadership contest if 25% of MPs submit a letter to the National Executive Committee (NEC). This threshold will likely be met by mid-January.

leadership prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

75%

Closes

2027-12-31

Source: user-generated

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