Venezuela's GDP contracts by more than 5% in 2026 due to earthquake d…

The earthquake has devastated critical infrastructure and displaced hundreds of thousands. Economic output will contract sharply due to lost production, reconstruction delays, and reduced investor confidence, with the IMF projecting a 6% GDP decline for 2026.

macro · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)

78%

Closes

2027-01-15

More macro markets

• Labour loses 10% of its UK polling lead to Greens by 2027 — 68% Yes
• S&P 500 surpasses 6,500 by December 2027 — 70% Yes
• Highway Trust Fund revenue loss triggers 2027 infrastructure cuts — 60% Yes
• Australian coal exports to China fall 15% by Q4 2026 due to supply disruptions — 60% Yes
• Iran exports LPG volume rises 15% by Q4 2026 — 70% Yes
• US dollar strengthens against yuan by 5% within 6 months — 70% Yes
• Foreign institutional outflows from Japan equities exceed $50B by 2026 Q3 — 72% Yes
• NY budget passes with pension reform by June 30 — 70% Yes

Browse all macro markets →