Violent crime rate in top 10 US cities rises by 15% YoY by 2027-Q4

Based on Axios' report of worsening trends, the violent crime rate (per 100,000) in the top 10 most populous US cities will increase by at least 15% year-over-year by the end of Q4 2025. This prediction accounts for continued economic pressures and policing adjustments.

Implied probability (Yes)

72%

Closes

2027-12-31