OpenAI misses Q3 2026 revenue targets by 15% or more
Resolves: OpenAI reports Q3 2026 revenue that is at least 15% below internal projections or consensus analyst estimates.
user-generated· earnings
OpenAI misses Q3 2026 revenue targets by 15% or more
Market overview
OpenAI's consumer business growth has slowed, and the company is trailing Anthropic in enterprise markets. This trend will continue through Q3 2026, missing internal revenue targets by a significant margin.
earnings prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 70%
- Closes
- 2026-11-15
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
OpenAI reports Q3 2026 revenue that is at least 15% below internal projections or consensus analyst estimates.
Source: user-generated
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