Far-right protest turnout exceeds police estimates

Market overview

The 'Unite the Kingdom' protest led by Tommy Robinson attracts more participants than the police's initial projections of 10,000. This surge increases the risk of violent confrontations with pro-Palestine marchers.

event prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

70%

Source: user-generated

More event markets

• Venus Aerospace stock or acquisition announced by end of 2028 — 60% Yes
• UK rail passenger numbers decline by 5% year-over-year in Q4 2026 — 60% Yes
• DSA loses next high-profile primary — 70% Yes
• France hosts UEFA Euro 2028 before 2027 — 72% Yes
• WHO declares mpox a PHEIC by Dec 2026 — 70% Yes
• Morocco will submit a formal bid to host 2030 World Cup final — 75% Yes
• South Africa flood-related fatalities exceed 50 by May 20 — 78% Yes
• Spain wildfire death toll exceeds 50 by end of 2026 — 70% Yes

Browse all event markets →