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Will a full ceasefire between Hezbollah and Israel be formally announced by July 31, 2027?

The headline suggests a Lebanese official conveyed Hezbollah's readiness for a full ceasefire to the U.S. This question assesses whether this readiness translates into a formal agreement. A formal announcement from official channels of both parties or a recognized mediator would resolve this.

Implied probability (Yes)
25%
Closes
2029-08-30
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