Republicans gain working class vote share in 2026 midterms
Resolves: In 2026 U.S. House elections, GOP receives larger share of vote among voters without college degree than Democrats, per exit polls or voter surveys.
user-generated· event
Republicans gain working class vote share in 2026 midterms
Market overview
Republican Party wins a majority of working class voters in 2026 House popular vote.
event prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 40%
- Closes
- 2026-11-10
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
In 2026 U.S. House elections, GOP receives larger share of vote among voters without college degree than Democrats, per exit polls or voter surveys.
Source: user-generated
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