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Will the Republican candidate who wins the South Carolina runoff election for the Senate seat be a new face, not currently serving in the U.S. Senate?

Resolves: YES if the individual who wins the Republican runoff election for the South Carolina U.S. Senate seat in 2024 is not Lindsey Graham. NO if Lindsey Graham wins the runoff.

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user-generated· Politics

Will the Republican candidate who wins the South Carolina runoff elec…

Market overview

If the runoff is indeed to 'replace' Senator Graham, it implies a challenger is vying for his seat. If Graham loses the runoff, then a new individual would be the nominee. This question explores the outcome of the runoff leading to a new candidate.

Politics prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
25%
Closes
2026-11-24

About this prediction

How this resolves

YES if the individual who wins the Republican runoff election for the South Carolina U.S. Senate seat in 2024 is not Lindsey Graham. NO if Lindsey Graham wins the runoff.

Source: user-generated

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