Bitcoin ETF approval triggers 15% price surge by year-end 2026

The SEC approves a spot Bitcoin ETF by Q4 2026, leading to a significant inflow of institutional capital into the crypto market. Bitcoin’s price is expected to rally as retail and institutional adoption accelerates in the aftermath of the approval.

crypto · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)

68%

Closes

2026-12-31

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• Will Ethereum dominate headlines in the next 6-10 months? — 71% Yes
• Blockchain Technology major announcement before October 2026? — 51% Yes
• Will Bitcoin (BTC) reach a new all-time high above $73,798.00 before October 1, 2026? — 70% Yes
• If Bitcoin reaches a new all-time high before October 2026, will U.S. spot Ethereum ETFs record 8 consecutive weeks of net inflows during 2026? — 60% Yes
• Will U.S. spot Ethereum (ETH) Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) record 8 consecutive weeks of net inflows during 2026? — 55% Yes
• Freedom’s expansion drives regional crypto adoption to 40% increase — 65% Yes
• Turlov’s Freedom to acquire a crypto mining firm within 12 months — 70% Yes

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