Will the US and Iran formally extend their current truce beyond its initial expiration date by December 31, 2027?

The headline suggests a 'tentative deal' to extend the truce. This question asks if this tentative agreement will be formalized and publicly announced as an extension by the end of the year. The probability is moderate given the 'tentative' nature and historical complexities in US-Iran relations.

Implied probability (Yes)

60%

Closes

2029-08-27