Tinubu sacks Gbajabiamila as Chief of Staff by Dec 2026
Resolves: Femi Gbajabiamila is no longer Nigeria's Chief of Staff by 2026-12-31.
user-generated· leadership
Tinubu sacks Gbajabiamila as Chief of Staff by Dec 2026
Market overview
The political fallout from the fake agency scandal will force President Tinubu to replace Femi Gbajabiamila. Public pressure and internal party dynamics will drive this leadership change.
leadership prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 62%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Femi Gbajabiamila is no longer Nigeria's Chief of Staff by 2026-12-31.
Source: user-generated
More leadership markets
- Nigeria's accountant-general resigns amid PFIPC fraud fallout by December 2026 — 80% Yes
- Starmer reshuffles shadow cabinet by September 2027 — 70% Yes
- Starmer will survive leadership challenge but party divisions worsen by October 2027 — 65% Yes
- Warsh appointed to Fed Board of Governors — 40% Yes
- UK PM Starmer resigns within 30 days — 70% Yes
- OpenAI announces new safety chief within 90 days — 70% Yes
- Vance will resign from Senate by October 2026 to avoid expulsion — 40% Yes
- BNP’s Americas FICC trading headcount grows by 15% within 12 months of Gupta’s appointment — 75% Yes
No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…