DRC Ebola outbreak deaths exceed 5,000 by end-2026

The Democratic Republic of the Congo's Ebola outbreak will worsen due to reduced surveillance and response capacity from USAID cuts. Current trends suggest the death toll will surpass 5,000 by December 31, 2026.

health · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)

75%

Closes

2026-12-31

More health markets

• Hantavirus outbreak aboard cruise ships to decline by July 2027 — 78% Yes
• DRC Ebola outbreak death toll exceeds 20,000 by December 2026 — 75% Yes
• DRC Ebola cases exceed 10,000 by end of 2026 — 75% Yes
• DR Congo Ebola outbreak exceeds 2,000 cases by end of 2026 — 75% Yes
• WHO declares Ebola outbreak in DR Congo a Public Health Emergency — 60% Yes
• Safe burial compliance drops below 60% in DR Congo due to misinformation — 80% Yes
• UK heat-related excess deaths increase by at least 10% in July 2026 vs June 2026 — 70% Yes
• Dutch hospital quarantine lifted by mid-June 2026 — 85% Yes

Browse all health markets →