Skip to main content

Corporate retirement plan contributions fall 5% by 2028

Resolves: 401(k) and other defined contribution plan contributions reported in IRS Form 5500 filings for 2028 decline by 5% or more compared to 2025 levels.

Make a pick
user-generated· earnings

Corporate retirement plan contributions fall 5% by 2028

Market overview

With fewer employees in peak-earning 45-64 bracket, companies will report a 5% decline in retirement plan contributions by 2028. This reflects reduced participation among older workers and lower employer matching rates. Data from IRS Form 5500 filings will be used.

earnings prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
68%
Closes
2028-12-31

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

401(k) and other defined contribution plan contributions reported in IRS Form 5500 filings for 2028 decline by 5% or more compared to 2025 levels.

Source: user-generated

More earnings markets

Browse all earnings markets →

No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…