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California implements midcycle redistricting in 2028 despite federal ban

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user-generated· legal

California implements midcycle redistricting in 2028 despite federal…

Market overview

Even if Kiley’s federal ban passes, California will proceed with midcycle redistricting in 2028, citing a state constitutional mandate or court order. The state will argue that its redistricting process is protected under state law, creating a legal conflict with the federal ban.

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Implied probability (Yes)
60%

Source: user-generated

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