Jeffries will face more than 20 House Democratic no votes on speaker ballot
Resolves: The final recorded vote count for House Speaker includes 20 or more 'Nay' votes from House Democrats on the first or any subsequent ballot.
user-generated· politics
Jeffries will face more than 20 House Democratic no votes on speaker…
Market overview
The growing progressive bloc refusing to commit to Jeffries includes at least 8 confirmed members and could expand further in upcoming primaries. Historical precedent suggests at least 20 dissenting votes would significantly disrupt Jeffries' path to the gavel.
politics prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 70%
- Closes
- 2027-01-03
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
The final recorded vote count for House Speaker includes 20 or more 'Nay' votes from House Democrats on the first or any subsequent ballot.
Source: user-generated
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