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user-generated· macro

Argentina's fiscal deficit exceeds 8% of GDP by Q4 2026

The video suggests policy gridlock and economic stress could accelerate fiscal deterioration. Argentina's fiscal deficit has trended wider during election years, and with no clear reform path, a deficit above 8% of GDP is likely by year-end 2026.

macro · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)
68%
Closes
2026-12-31

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