Nigel Farage to resign from Parliament by March 2027
Resolves: Nigel Farage publicly resigns from his seat in the UK Parliament by the resolution date.
user-generated· leadership
Nigel Farage to resign from Parliament by March 2027
Market overview
Nigel Farage's position as an MP will become untenable if Reform UK is found guilty of legal violations related to the donations scandal. His resignation will follow pressure from within the party and public backlash, occurring by March 31, 2027.
leadership prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 60%
- Closes
- 2027-03-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Nigel Farage publicly resigns from his seat in the UK Parliament by the resolution date.
Source: user-generated
More leadership markets
- FIFA Miami HQ employs over 200 staff by June 2027 — 68% Yes
- South Korea's president to hold post-World Cup 2026 national address — 65% Yes
- Labour Party will avoid a formal leadership challenge by September 2027 — 60% Yes
- Seychelles President Herminie resigns within 18 months due to award scandal — 68% Yes
- CISA director appointment delayed until at least Q2 2027 — 80% Yes
- Qualifications Scotland CEO resigns amid exam controversy — 60% Yes
- U.S. State Department establishes a sports diplomacy liaison role — 55% Yes
- Reform UK leader Nigel Farage resigns within 6 months — 55% Yes
No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…