Will the number of professional software developer jobs in the US decrease by more than 5% by December 31, 2026, compared to 2028 levels?

Wu's comment implies AI won't replace humans, but widespread adoption of AI coding agents could still impact job numbers. This question gauges the market's expectation of AI's disruptive potential on the software development workforce. The 2023 baseline will be taken from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) data.

Implied probability (Yes)

40%

Closes

2030-12-31