Will the average yield on European high-yield corporate bonds fall below 4.0% by December 31, 2028?

The headline suggests a 'hot market' for European junk firms seeking to cut loan costs, implying strong investor demand and potentially lower yields. This question assesses whether this trend will lead to a significant drop in the average yield for high-yield corporate bonds.

Implied probability (Yes)

60%

Closes

2030-08-30