Will any major AI lab (Google DeepMind, OpenAI, Anthropic, Meta AI) publicly announce by December 31, 2026, that an AI system developed by them has autonomously designed and executed a significant improvement to its own architecture or core algorithms?

The headline suggests AI could 'build its own successors.' This question aims to predict if a major player will achieve and publicly disclose a significant step towards autonomous AI self-improvement within the next few years.

Implied probability (Yes)

25%

Closes

2026-12-31