Will the independent Dan Sullivan receive more than 5% of the vote in the Alaska U.S. Senate general election?
Resolves: YES if the independent candidate Dan Sullivan's official vote count exceeds 5.0% of the total votes cast in the Alaska U.S. Senate general election, as reported by the Alaska Division of Elections. Otherwise, NO.
Will the independent Dan Sullivan receive more than 5% of the vote in…
Market overview
An independent candidate sharing the name of the incumbent Senator Dan Sullivan has advanced from the primary. While name recognition can draw votes, it's challenging for independents to secure a significant share against established party candidates.
Politics prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 20%
- Closes
- 2026-11-24
About this prediction
How this resolves
YES if the independent candidate Dan Sullivan's official vote count exceeds 5.0% of the total votes cast in the Alaska U.S. Senate general election, as reported by the Alaska Division of Elections. Otherwise, NO.
Source: user-generated
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