2026 midterm turnout exceeds 2028 by 5% due to election fraud fears

Market overview

Election integrity concerns will drive higher turnout among voters who believe the 2024 election was stolen. Historical midterm turnout increases of 3-4% are exceeded as partisan mobilization peaks.

event prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

60%

Closes

2028-12-31

Source: user-generated

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