Will the US Congress pass legislation by December 31, 2028, codifying the requirement for AI companies to provide early access to models to the government?

The executive order requests companies to provide early access. For this to become a more permanent and legally binding requirement, congressional action would likely be needed. Given the current political climate and the complexity of AI regulation, passing such specific legislation within this timeframe is uncertain.

Implied probability (Yes)

30%

Closes

2030-08-31