Will at least one Chinese EV brand (BYD, Nio, Xpeng, Li Auto, Geely, SAIC) launch a new production EV model with Level 3 or higher autonomous driving capabilities available to consumers in China by June 30, 2027?

An 'AI arms race' in EVs implies significant advancements in autonomous driving. Level 3 autonomy, requiring sophisticated AI, would be a clear indicator of this escalation beyond just price competition. This question focuses on actual product availability.

Implied probability (Yes)

45%

Closes

2029-07-30