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user-generated· macro

MSCI Asia ex-Japan index to fall by 4% or more by 2026-08-01

The MSCI Asia ex-Japan index will decline by at least 4% by early August 2026 as risk-off sentiment spreads from the Middle East conflict. Investor caution will outweigh any regional economic resilience during the period.

macro · Prediction Market

Implied probability (Yes)
78%
Closes
2026-08-01

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