Will the United States re-enter the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) by December 31, 2025?

Trump's statement about making a 'deal' could imply a renegotiation or return to a nuclear agreement. This question assesses the likelihood of the US rejoining the JCPOA, which was abandoned by the Trump administration.

Implied probability (Yes)

25%

Closes

2026-09-03