Will Donald Trump publicly endorse at least 50% of the winning Republican primary candidates for U.S. House seats in 2024?

The headline highlights Trump's influence in a primary race. This question broadens the scope to his overall endorsement success rate in House primaries across the country. Trump frequently endorses candidates, and his success rate is a measure of his continued sway within the GOP.

Implied probability (Yes)

75%

Closes

2026-09-09