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Will any significant amendments to FISA Section 702 be enacted into law by December 31, 2027?

Resolves: YES if any bill that modifies the text or application of FISA Section 702 (beyond simple reauthorization duration) is passed by both chambers of Congress and signed into law by the President by December 31, 2024. NO otherwise.

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user-generated· Legal

Will any significant amendments to FISA Section 702 be enacted into l…

Market overview

The short-term extension implies that there are still disagreements over the scope and oversight of FISA. Significant amendments, such as those related to warrant requirements for U.S. person searches, could be a condition for a longer-term deal.

Legal prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
30%
Closes
2029-07-30

About this prediction

How this resolves

YES if any bill that modifies the text or application of FISA Section 702 (beyond simple reauthorization duration) is passed by both chambers of Congress and signed into law by the President by December 31, 2024. NO otherwise.

Source: user-generated

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