Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?

Market overview

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between January 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.

General prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

20%

Closes

2027-01-01

More General markets

• Will Nuclear Energy dominate headlines in the next 6-10 months? — 34% Yes
• Wind Energy achieves major milestone? — 59% Yes
• Andor achieves major milestone? — 28% Yes
• Will ADHD dominate headlines in the next 12-18 months? — 67% Yes
• Apple Watch major announcement before July 2027? — 78% Yes
• Supplements major announcement before November 2026? — 41% Yes
• Will Star Wars dominate headlines in the next 6-10 months? — 72% Yes
• Home Depot faces significant controversy? — 68% Yes

Browse all General markets →