Reform UK gains at least one mayoralty by May 2028

Reform UK's momentum in local elections suggests they will capitalize on their gains by securing a mayoral position in an upcoming by-election or general election. The party's growing support base in areas like Havering and Newcastle-under-Lyme positions them to win at least one mayoral race in the next 12 months.

Implied probability (Yes)

60%

Closes

2028-12-31