Major malaria-endemic African country adopts catnip lotion at national scale
Resolves: Public health ministry or national malaria control agency issues official directive or procurement contract for nationwide distribution of catnip-based lotion as a standard repellent.
user-generated· adoption
Major malaria-endemic African country adopts catnip lotion at nationa…
Market overview
By December 2027, Uganda or Kenya will integrate catnip-based lotion into national malaria prevention programs as a primary repellent, replacing at least 20% of imported chemical repellents. This follows pilot data showing equal efficacy to DEET at lower cost.
adoption prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 70%
- Closes
- 2027-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Public health ministry or national malaria control agency issues official directive or procurement contract for nationwide distribution of catnip-based lotion as a standard repellent.
Source: user-generated
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