State murder charges dismissed
Resolves: A NY court dismisses all state murder charges against Mangione by June 2027.
user-generated· legal
State murder charges dismissed
Market overview
NY state court dismisses murder charges on double jeopardy grounds.
legal prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 35%
- Closes
- 2027-06-30
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
A NY court dismisses all state murder charges against Mangione by June 2027.
Source: user-generated
More legal markets
- Elon Musk files new lawsuit against OpenAI within 12 months — 60% Yes
- Tennessee Democrats fail to overturn gerrymandered map before 2026 midterms — 75% Yes
- California passes stricter privacy law for vehicle data by 2027 — 80% Yes
- Forge Global removes Anthropic shares from platform within 60 days — 85% Yes
- First fully autonomous AI ransomware attack by December 2026 — 55% Yes
- Appointment dispute escalates to court case by 2027-03-15 — 55% Yes
- Lawsuit filed over Kenya crash — 60% Yes
- Supreme Court declines to hear climate lawsuit case — 40% Yes
No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…