Will the percentage of religiously unaffiliated voters in the US increase by at least 2 percentage points by the 2028 general election?

The headline suggests a 'secular shift' impacting campaigns. This question measures a quantifiable change in religious affiliation among the electorate, which would be verifiable through post-election surveys. A 2-point increase is a significant but plausible shift over a short period.

Implied probability (Yes)

60%

Closes

2030-08-23